'Sensex 22,500 Tak Ja Sakta Hai

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'Sensex 22,500 Tak Ja Sakta Hai

maneesh haatheeramaani. . Naya faainainshal iyar shuroo ho chuka hai. Trading aur investameint kamyuniti ne ummeedon ka daaman pakada huaa hai. Naya faainainshal iyar kaisa rah sakta hai, isse pehle aaie ek najar gujre hue saal par daal li jaae. April 2012 mein Nifty 5,378 par tha, jo June mein girkar 4,770 par chala gaya tha. Pichhle faainainshal iyar mein 4,770 Nifty ka bautam yaani lo leval raha. Yah bahut aham teknikl leval tha. Agar national stock exchange ka index ise todta, to yah 4,300 tak ja sakta tha. Ek aur baat yaad rakhani chaahiye ki tab market beyar rally vaale daur mein tha, jiski shuruaati kai maheene pehle February 2011 mein hui thi. Tab Nifty ne aham support leval 5,350 ko toda tha. December 2011 tak Nifty 4,530 ke leval par chala gaya tha. Aise mein jab market mein rikvari ki shuruaat hui, to hamesha yah shak bana raha ki kya yah 'Beyar pul back' hai ya market ka bautam ban chuka hai. Is tarah ke haalaat inavestars ke liye bahut mushkil hote hain. Ek tarah unki portfolio ki vailyoo kam ho chuki hoti hai to doosari or unke man mein yah chalta rahata hai ki kya stock market mein I giraavat ka faayda uthaana chaahiye aur khareedaari karni chaahiye? Haalaanki, market ke treind ke ulat stand lene ko lekar unke man mein savaal bane rahate hain. Inavestars ko lagta hai ki aisa karne ke baad market mein aur giraavat I to portfolio ki vailyoo aur kam ho sakti hai. Haalaanki, faainainshal iyar 2013 ke doosare half mein market mein rally shuroo hui aur Nifty February 2013 mein 6,111 par pahunch gaya. Jin logon ne kam keemat par stauks ki khareedaari ki thi, ve iska jashn mana rahe the. Vaheen, jo inavestars iska faayda uthaane se chook gaye the, ve khud ko dilaasa day rahe the ki chalo portfolio mein kuchh jaan to lauti. Faainainshal iyar 2014 kaisa rahega? Nifty ke liye 5,200-5,250 laung tarm support leval hai. Aadarsh sthiti mein yah leval naheen tootana chaahiye. Agar aisa hota hai, to inavestars ko lambe samay tak dard jhelana hoga aur uske baad kaafi samay tak index ek range mein bana rahega. Yah jyaadaatar inavestars aur tredars ke liye kaafi mushkil ho sakta hai. Haalaanki, jab tak aisa naheen hota, market ki haalat theek maani ja sakti hai. Agar yahaan se index oopar chadhta hai, to financial 2014 mein market nae record bana sakta hai. Mere hisaab se yah 6,500 ho sakta hai. Sensex ke liye yah leval 22,000-22,500 hoga. Agar market oopar jaata hai, to main efaemaseeji, helthakeyar aur IT sector par kareebi najar rakhoonga. In sektars ki haalat abhi achhi hai aur inki badaulat index nae leval par ja sakta hai. Haalaanki, agar market mein giraavat aati hai, to metals, power, Oil end gas aur realty stauks ke liye mushkil badh sakti hai. Ab hamaare paas sirf do sektars bach jaate hain, jinki padtaal ki jaroorat hai. Ye hain banking aur auto. Banking sector ke liye pichhla maheena kharaab raha. Is sector ke liye 10,600-10,900 aham support leval hoga. Agar yah isse neeche jaata hai, to aur 1,000 point ki giraavat aa sakti hai. Ismein bulish treind tabhi shuroo hoga, jab yah index 12,600 ke paar jaae. Aisa hone par banking index 15,000 tak ja sakta hai. Auto sector ke liye 9,800 par short tarm support hai. Agar yah tootata hai, to index pehle 8,500 aur uske baad 8,100 tak ja sakta hai. Vaheen, oopar ki taraf yah 12,240 tak ja sakta hai.

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