Pichhle Saal GDP Growth 6.5 Feesadi Rahi Pranav Sen

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Pichhle Saal GDP Growth 6.5 Feesadi Rahi Pranav Sen

central staitistikl office (CSO) ne 2012-13 mein 5 feesadi growth hone ka anumaan diya hai, lekin national staitistikl Chairman Pranab sen ke hisaab se growth 6.5 feesadi rahi hai. Unhonne ikanaumik times ki dilaasha seth ko diye interview mein kaha hai ki kuchh green shoot dikh rahe hain, jisse kareint financial iyar mein growth behtar rahane ke anumaan ko badhaava milta hai. CSO ke advance anumaan ke mutaabik pichhle fiscal iyar mein growth dashak ke sabse nichle leval par rahi. Aapka kya kehna hai? Pehli baat, pichhle saal growth 5 feesadi naheen lagbhag 6.5 feesadi rahi hai. Aaspaas dekhiye, aapko kaheen koi dikkat najar aa rahi hai? Kya kisi ko jaub ki dikkat hai? Kya inakam ka sors khatm ho raha hai? Main hamesha se kauntreriyn raha hoon. Ikanaumi ki haalat utani kharaab naheen hai jitni log bata rahe hain. Ismein besik data ka ishyoo hai. IIP mein sirf corporate production ki jhalak milti hai, esaemai ki naheen. Lekin banking kredit ke aankade dekheinge to paaenge ki esaemai ka performance bhi theek naheen raha hai? Kredit ke morche par kuchh achha naheen raha hai. Bank kredit aham indiketar hai. Pehle isse esaemai ke baare mein pata chalta tha. Lekin pichhle saal dipaujit growth bhi sabse kam rahi thi. Real dipaujit growth to ek tarah se jeero hai. Aisa dekha jaata raha hai ki jab companiyon ne paisa nikaala, financial sector ka tarnaaraaund huaa aur unhonne esaemai ko jyaada leinding shuroo ki. Haalaanki, pichhle saal corporate sector ki nikaasi ke baavajood dipaujit rate kam rahane ke chalte esaemai ko fund naheen mila. Iska matlab yah naheen hai ki esaemai achha performance naheen kar sakte. Esaemai ko bankon se jaroorat ka 25 se 40 feesadi hi mil paata hai, baaki inafaurmal sector se aata hai. Is fiscal mein growth kya rah sakti hai? Kya eksaport mein sudhaar se growth mein bhi tej aaegi? Is saal agar corporate growth tej naheen hoti, to ikanaumik growth pichhle saal se bhi kam rahegi. 2013-14 mein dekhne waali baat yah hogi ki corporate kya karte hain? Mainne jo kaha hai agar vaisa hi hota hai to ikanaumik growth sust hogi, kyonki esaemai mein susti aa gayi hai. Ismein asal mein jyaada naatakeeya tareeke se susti I hai. Corporate growth mein kuchh green shoots dikh rahe hain, jinko lekar aashvast naheen huaa ja sakta lekin ummeed ki ja sakti hai. Positive baat yah hai ki eksaport badh raha hai. Iska corporate par positive asar hoga jo der se dikhega. America aur yooropiyn union mein ab bhi bahut anishchitta hai. Kya RBI ke rate kat se inavestameint badhega ? Ek taraf corporate sector hai , jise 9.5 se 10 feesadi par fund mil raha hai. Inafleshan 7.5-10 feesadi hone se real intarest rate lagbhag 3 feesadi hota hai. Yah chhah maheene pehle ke 8 feesadi se ghatkar 6 feesadi aur ab 6 se neeche aa gaya hai. Bachat karne vaale ke lihaaj se dekhein to 10 feesadi se oopar inafleshan aur maiksimm 9.5 feesadi dipaujit rate hai. Aise mein real intarest rate negetiv mein hai. Aise mein kaun inavest karna chaahega. Isliye log gold ki taraf bhaag rahe hain. Jab tak CPI neeche naheen aata , sabhi dipaujit rets par intarest rate positive naheen hone lagta aur intarest rate mein kami naheen ki jaati , likviditi ki sthiti aur kharaab hogi. Isliye kanjyoomar inafleshan ko control karna top praayariti mein honi chaahiye. Dablyoopeeaai kamfart jon me n hai.

Pichhle Saal GDP Growth 6.5 Feesadi Rahi Pranav Sen https://www.angrejinews.com/pic/8736