Lambi Rally Ki Or Badhte Market Mein Khatre Bhi Hain

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Lambi Rally Ki Or Badhte Market Mein Khatre Bhi Hain

dheereindr Kumar, CEO, vailyoo research share market mein der tak chal sakane waali rally ki saaf gunjaaish dikh rahi hai, lekin investors ke liye ismein gambhir khatra bhi chhipa hua hai. Donon baatein ek-doosare se ulat lag rahi hain. Agar market mein rally aa rahi ho aur sheyaron tatha ikviti myoochual fands mein investameints se paisa banane vaala ho to yeh investors ke liye khatre se bhara vakt kaise ho sakta hai? Is savaal ke javaab ke liye aap khud se poochhiye ki 2002 se 2010 tak investameint se juda aapka anubhav kaisa raha? 2002 ke baad ke saal khushnuma the, jab investors ne paise banaae. Fir market crash hua aur takareeban har investar ne har cheej mein paise ganvaae. Iske baad haalaanki rikvari bhi hui, jo apne saath kai aashcharyajanak cheejein le I. Kai investors yeh ehsaas hone par hairat mein pad gaye ki jabaradast crash ke baad jab ikviteej mein rikvari hoti hai to yeh daraasal rikvari naheen, balki ek bilkul alag sthiti hoti hai. Rikvari ka matlab to yeh hota hai ki ghadi ki suiyon ko fir puraani pojeeshan mein pahuncha diya jaae yaani puraane haalaat ki bahaali, jaise computer par control+Z. Kai cheejein haalaanki is tarah naheen chalti hain. Rikvari ke baad share market ki tasveer poori tarah badal gayi. Boom peeriyd mein jordaar performance karne vaale kai investameints crash ke baad rikvar kar hi naheen sake. Infrastructure, realty aur telecom sector ke kuchh hisse iske udaaharan hain. Kuchh log isse yeh sabak lene ki baat karte hain ki ab jab market rally ki raah par hai to infrastructure jaise sektars se bachakar rahana chaahiye. Kuchh doosare investors ki rai hai ki in sektars par daanv lagaana chaahiye kyonki ye fir apne teji ke dinon mein laut sakte hain. Inmein se koi bhi najariya sahi ho sakta hai, lekin isse koi fark naheen padta. Kaheen jyaada aham savaal yeh hai ki investors maarkets ke aise oonche levals par savaalon mein ghire sektars par daanv kyon lagaate hain? Investameint ke aise faisale ve kaise karte hain? Kya ve apne man se aisa karte hain ya selsamain ya is tarah ke kisi doosare shakhs ke kehne par aisa karte hain? In savaalon ke sahi javaab agar dhoondh lein to is baar ham puraani galati se bach jaaenge. Indian stock maarkets mein aise har maamale mein saavadhaani se cheejon ko badha-chadhaakar pesh karne ki selsamainaship ne bada rol nibhaaya hai. Daraasal, kisi na kisi bindu par ek positive feedabaik saaikal shuroo hoti hi hai. Kisi theem mein shaamil kuchh share achha parafaurm karte hain. Isse logon ka dhyaan in par jaata hai, khaastaur se unka, jinki najar us theem ke doosare stauks par hoti hai. Iske baad brokers ke ainaalists us theem ko promote karne mein jut jaate hain. Iske baad ovaravailyood aaipeeo aur FPO aate hain. Pichhle do baar se aisa hi kuchh myoochual fands mein bhi ho raha tha. Nivesh ke lihaaj se badatar vikalpon ke paksh mein positive feedabaik ka maamala sektars ya investameint theems ke liye hi naheen tha, yeh sab beema companiyon ke yoolip ke maamale mein bhi hua. Beema ejeints ke liye yoolip aakarshak hote hain. Market ka haal itna achha tha ki jin logon ne inmein nivesh kiya tha, unhein jyaada eksapeins didkshans ke baavajood kuchh rakam banti dikh rahi thi. Niyamon mein badlaav ne bhale hi myoochual fands aur inshyoreins ke maamale mein gadbadiyon ki raah roki ho, lekin yeh general principle to bana hi hua hai ki haalaat achhe dikh rahe hon to selsamain sakriya ho jaate hain. Har deta bataata hai ki aam Indian investar ka investing bihaiviyr khud ko nuksaan pahunchaane vaala hota hai. Durbhaagya se aise logon ki kami naheen hai, jo in haalaat mein turatafurat maal banaane ki koshish karte hain. Ab jabki ham maarkets ke der tak chalne vaale achhe dinon ki or badh rahe hain to investors ko is par najar bhi rakhani hogi ki aage kya ho sakta hai aur usase bachane ka intajaam bhi rakhana hoga.

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