Aaj Chunaav Hue To Congress Ho Jaaegi Fiss

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Aaj Chunaav Hue To Congress Ho Jaaegi Fiss

Nai Delhi . . Agar Loksabha chunaav aaj ki taareekh mein hue to Congress ko karaari haar ka saamana karna padega. BJP sabse badi party bankar ubharegi. Yah baat ebeepi news- neelasan sarve ki report mein kahi gayi hai. Ravivaar ko hindi news channel ebeepi news ne sarve report ki pehli kisht prasaarit ki. Sarve report ki agali kisht somvaar ko prasaarit ki jaaegi. Mangalvaar ko UPA 2 sarkaar chaar saal poore kar rahi hai. Is mauke par samaachaar channel ne apni yah sarve report pesh ki jismein alag-alag raajyon mein matadaataaon ke mood ko samajhne ki koshish ki gayi. 1 se 10 May ke beech kiye gaye is sarve mein 21 raajyon ki 152 Loksabha seaton mein 33408 se logon se baat ki gayi hai. Delhi mein Congress ka bura haal sarve ki report ka bharosa kiya jaae to Delhi mein Congress ko tagada jhatka lagne vaala hai. 2009 ke chunaavon mein Congress ne Delhi ki 7 sansadeeya seaton mein se 7 par kabja kar liya tha. BJP ko ek bhi seat naheen mili thi. Magar, sarve ke mutaabik agar aaj chunaav hue to BJP ko 5 seatein mileingi jabki Congress 2 seaton tak simat jaaegi. Aam aadmi party ko sarve ke mutaabik koi sansadeeya seat Delhi mein naheen milegi. Maharashtra mein BJP ko faayda 48 Loksabha seaton vaale raajya Maharashtra mein bhi Congress-enaseepi ko nuksaan hota dikh raha hai. Filhaal Congress-enaseepi ke paas 25 saansad hain. Sarve ke mutaabik is gathabandhan ke saansadon ki sankhya ghatkar 16 par aa jaaegi jinmein 12 saansad Congress ke honge aur 4 enaseepi ke. Sarve ke mutaabik BJP shivsena gathabandhan faayde mein rahegi. Filhaal, BJP shivsena gathabandhan ke paas 20 seatein hain. Sarve ne BJP ko 17 seatein di hain aur shivsena ko 12 seatein. Sarve ke mutaabik raaj Thackeray ki MNS ko ek seat milegi. UP mein Congress ko jhatka 80 Loksabha seaton vaale UP mein bhi sarve ke mutaabik Congress ko kaafi badi niraasha haath lagne waali hai. Abhi Congress ke paas maatr 10 seatein hain aur chunaav ke baad ismein aur kami aaegi. Congress ki seatein 6 tak aa jaaegi. Samaajavaadi party apni maujooda sthiti barkaraar rakhate hue 24 seatein jeetegi jabki BSP ke saansadon ki sankhya 21 rahegi. BJP ki seat sankhya mein thodi badhotri hogi. Vah 21 se badh kar 23 par pahunch jaaegi. 5 seatein aaraeladi ko mileingi. Bihar mein nateeje gathabandhan ki sthiti par nirbhar Bihar mein 40 Loksabha seatein hain. Sarve ke mutaabik yahaan bhi agar BJP-jedi (you) gathabandhan bana rahata hai to donon dal saath milkar chunaav ladte hain to seaton ki sankhya aur badha sakte hain. Filhaal BJP jedi (you) ke paas 32 seatein hain ye seatein badhkar 34 ho jaaengi. Sarve ke mutaabik jedi (you) apni seatein 20 se badhaakar 24kar legi, lekin BJP ko nuksaan hoga. Usaki seatein 12 se ghatkar 10 ho jaaengi. Haalaanki donon ko milaakar 40 mein se 34 seatein NDA ki jholi mein hongi. Congress aur aarajedi ko maujooda sameekaranon ke tahat yahaan maayoosi milegi. Congress ko 3 aur aarajedi ko 2 seaton par hi santosh karna padega. Lekin, agar sameekaran badal gaye aur jedi (you) tatha BJP gathabandhan toot gaya to nateeje badal sakte hain. Sarve kehta hai ki agar BJP - jedi (you) alag ladeen aur Congress aarajedi saath aa jaaen to is ganthabandhan ko 18 seatein mil sakti hain.

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