Voton Ka Ganit Jaanein Kya Hua Tha Jab 25 Saal Pehle Saath Aae The SP-BSP

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Voton Ka Ganit Jaanein Kya Hua Tha Jab 25 Saal Pehle Saath Aae The SP-BSP

Nai Delhi 2019 ke aam chunaavon ke liye uttar pradesh mein SP aur BSP ne saath milkar chunaav ladne ka faisala kiya hai. Yeh pehla mauka naheen hai jab ek-doosare ka virodh karne waali SP-BSP saath I hon. Kareeb 25 saal pehle bhi donon paartiyaan saath milkar maidaan mein utari theen. BJP ko rokane ke liye bane is gathabandhan ke saamane raajya mein mulaayam Singh Yadav aur kaansheeraam waali jodi ka 93 wala karishma doharaane ki chunauti hogi. 1993 mein is gathabandhan ko Ram mandir lahar ke beech BJP ke vijay ko rokane mein safalta mili thi. 1993 mein jahaan gathabandhan ki rooparekha mulaayam Singh Yadav aur kaansheeraam ne taiyaar ki thi, vaheen is baar svaroop maayaavati aur Akhilesh Yadav ne taiyaar kiya hai. Aaie le chalte hain aapko 25 saal pehle ,aur jaante hain tab donon ki dosti ne kaise bigaada tha BJP ka ganit. . . Pol Padhein, 38-38: Baraabari par yoon hi naheen ruka maaya-aakhilesh ka kaanta 1993 mein SP-BSP ki dosti se aise banti theen seeteinuttar pradesh ke 1993 ke vidhaanasabha ke chunaav mein kaansheeraam aur mulaayam Singh ke saamane BJP ki Ram lahar ki kaat dhoondhana sabse badi chunauti thi. Aise mein donon netaaon ne saath milkar chunaav ladne ka faisala kiya. Tab UP mein vidhaanasabha ki kul 422 seatein theen. Samaajavaadi party ne 256 seaton par aur BSP ne 164 seaton par chunaav lada. SP ne 109 seaton par jeet darj ki aur BSP ne 67 seaton par. Is tarah donon dalon ne milkar 176 seaton par kabja kiya. Is gathabandhan ke baavajood BJP jyaada seatein jeetne mein kaamayaab rahi thi. BJP ko 1993 ke vidhaanasabha chunaav mein 177 seatein mili theen. Vaheen vote share ki baat karein to. SP aur BSP ka vote share 29.06 pratishat raha tha. Jabki BJP 33.3 pratishat vote haasil karne mein kaamayaab rahi thi. Haalaanki SP aur BSP ne janta dal jaise kuchh dalon ke saath milkar UP mein sarkaar banaai thi. Paitarn 2014 wala raha to? Yadi voting paitarn 2014 ke Loksabha chunaav ki tarah hi rahata hai to SP BSP ke gathabandhan ki vajah se BJP ko aadhe se jyaada seaton se haath dhona pad sakta hai. 2014 ke aam chunaav mein UP mein BJP ne 71 seaton par badi jeet darj ki thi, apna dal 2 seat jeeti thi, SP ne 5, Congress ne do aur BSP apna khaata bhi naheen khol saki thi. Saadhaaran ganit ke hisaab se samajhein to 2014 mein BJP aur apna dal ka vote share 43.63 pratishat tha, jo SP aur BSP ke sanyukt vote share 42.12 pratishat se jyaada hai, lekin seat dar seat vishleshan se pata chalta hai ki SP aur BSP ka vote share ek saath milaaya jaae to 41 seatein aisi hain, jahaan yeh BJP ke vote share ko maat deta hai. Yadi aaraeladi ke vote share ko bhi ismein jodein to 42 seaton par BJP pichhad sakti hai. Yeh bhi padhein, maayaavati ki PM ummeedavaari par bole Akhilesh Haalaanki raajaneetik jaankaaron ka maanana hai ki ganit ke hisaab se nateejon ka aakalan naheen kiya ja sakta hai. Nateeja is baat par nirbhar karega ki paartiyaan kin muddon ko lekar chunaav mein utarati hain. 2014 mein logon mein Congress ke khilaaf gussa tha aur unhonne UPA ke khilaaf vote karte hue sthaayi sarkaar ke liye BJP ko chuna tha. Padhiye, SP-BSP gathabandhan ko BJP yoon degi maat 2017 ke vidhaanasabha chunaav ka ganit 2014 ke aam chunaav ke baad BJP ke liye UP vidhaanasabha ka chunaav kaafi aham tha. Is chunaav mein BJP ne 384 seaton par chunaav lada aur 312 par jeet darj ki. BJP ki sahayogi apna dal aur esabeeesapi 19 seaton par ladi 13 par jeet darj ki. BSP ne 403 seaton par chunaav lada aur 19 par jeet darj ki. SP 311 par chunaav lada aur 47 par jeeti. Aaraeladi ne 277 par chunaav lada aur ek seat jeeti. Vaheen Congress ne 114 par chunaav lada aur mahaj 7 seaton par jeet darj ki. Yadi 2019 mein vote isi paitarn par padta hai to ganit kuchh aisa hoga. BJP, apna dal aur esabeeesapi ka kul vote share 41.35 pratishat hai. Jabki SP BSP ka sanyukt vote share 44.05 pratishat hota hai. Vaheen yadi ismein aaraeladi ko bhi shaamil kiya jaae to yeh 45.83 pratishat hoga. Padhein,saath chale saaikal-haathi, jaanein kitni mushkilein 2019 mein Modi sarkaar ki performance sabse aham mudda hogi. Gathabandhan ki safalta is baat par nirbhar karegi ki vah apni jaateeya sameekaranon ko kaise baithaati hain aur khoe hue vote bank ko vaapas laane ke liye kya karti hain? Raajaneetik jaankaar deepak kabeer ka kehna hai, 'SP mukhya taur par yaadavon aur muslimon ke vote par jeetati hai. Vaheen BSP ka vote bank dalit samaaj hai. Haalaanki yeh gathabandhan muslimon ke liye pehli pasand hoga. SP ke prati vafaadaar Yadav bhi is gathabandhan ko vote kareinge, lekin badi sankhya aise yaadavon ki bhi hogi jo BSP ke liye vote naheen karna chaaheinge, to unke paas BJP hi vikalp hoga. '

Voton Ka Ganit Jaanein Kya Hua Tha Jab 25 Saal Pehle Saath Aae The SP-BSP http://www.angrejinews.com/pic/247438